Supporting Information Text S1 Predicting epidemic risk from past temporal contact data
نویسندگان
چکیده
Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto, Armando Giovannini, Diana Palma, Lara Savini, and Vittoria Colizza INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, F-75013, Paris, France. Sorbonne Universités, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, F-75013, Paris, France. Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale Abruzzo-Molise G. Caporale, Teramo, Italy. ISI Foundation, Torino, Italy.
منابع مشابه
Predicting Epidemic Risk from Past Temporal Contact Data
Understanding how epidemics spread in a system is a crucial step to prevent and control outbreaks, with broad implications on the system's functioning, health, and associated costs. This can be achieved by identifying the elements at higher risk of infection and implementing targeted surveillance and control measures. One important ingredient to consider is the pattern of disease-transmission c...
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Social interactions shape the patterns of spreading processes in a population. Techniques such as diaries or proximity sensors allow to collect data about encounters and to build networks of contacts between individuals. The contact networks obtained from these different techniques are however quantitatively different. Here, we first show how these discrepancies affect the prediction of the epi...
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Data describing human interactions often suffer from incomplete sampling of the underlying population. As a consequence, the study of contagion processes using data-driven models can lead to a severe underestimation of the epidemic risk. Here we present a systematic method to alleviate this issue and obtain a better estimation of the risk in the context of epidemic models informed by high-resol...
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Background and purpose: Leptospirosis is a zoonotic spirochetal disease caused by coming into contact with water or soil contaminated with urine of the infected animals such as sheep, hours, cow, rat and etc. Farmers, animal husbands, veterinarians and those practicing aqua sport are at risk. Materials and Methods: This study was undertaken in 13 villages of Ghaemshahr City (September 2004...
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